In the Boardroom

Lets cover Management, Private Equity and M&A Strategy.

Management Strategy

Monthly sector data should prove as valuable in boardrooms as it is on dealing floors. In what follows we elaborate on this conviction. First we outline our methodology.

Our work allows users to observe month by month trading conditions for over 200 specific sectors, spanning the breadth of manufacturing, extraction, construction and retail markets. For each sector we collect data on pricing, costs and sales. Such information becomes available within weeks of the month-end, and is collected by official government agencies, for the UK the Office for National Statistics. This sector data is the granular information used to construct the widely used aggregate level consumer and producer price figures. From the detailed data we create dedicated margin and revenue indicators for each sector

Let us now suggest just ten ways management might profitably exploit access to our data:

1. The data could help management put its performance in a relative context.

A company’s management is more than familiar with the strength in its own pricing, costs and demand. However,  less clear might be how these compare with industry-wide averages. It is precisely this benchmarking which the use of detailed sector data affords.

2. The data could give management valuable ammunition in maximising its pricing power.

For example, if a company’s pricing varies periodically under contract, then a knowledge of the most recently struck industry pricing should help forearm its management at contract renewal.

3. Management could use the data to gain visibility of trading in downstream markets, making it aware of how its customers are performing.

Knowledge of the conditions downstream should prove extremely useful ahead of negotiations with its customer. For example, producers of auto-components could monitor car prices and volumes. This then could help strengthen the negotiating hand of those component makers aware of improving trends in car sales.

4. A company's management could use the data to monitor upstream market conditions, most notably those of its suppliers.

For example, suppose a company’s supplies were received under some form of fixed-term contract. In this case a knowledge of recent trends in such negotiations should help avoid nasty cost surprises at contract renewal. Let us consider again producers of auto-components, whose material costs might be fixed under say a six month contract. In this case a sharp rise in the price of steel or primary plastic should help warn that an approaching contract negotiation might prove difficult.

5. The data could help with real-time management action.

We would suggest that on noticing a turning point in the performance of the sector in which it operates, or the market of its customers, or indeed that of its suppliers, a company’s management could take appropriate action. This might involve seeking supply-side improvements if material and fuel costs appeared to be heading upwards at a time when the evidence indicated little power to raise selling prices commensurately.

6. The data could aid management with its forward planning.

It should be reasonable to assume that past experiences act as reliable case studies for “what-if?” type management forecasts. For instance, a specific sector’s performance through a particular economic cycle could be considered a reliable guide to its most likely prospects under similar conditions, such as its behaviour when the currency was strengthening, or interest rates were changing swiftly. Such a retrospective historical analysis should prove invaluable entering fast moving economic waters.

Consider the last two decades for instance. Since 1991 the pound has fallen to close on unity with the Dollar, as well as having scaled to a height of almost two. Over the same period official lending rates have ranged from painful highs of 15%, to historic lows of 3.5%. Moreover the UK residential housing market has enjoyed bouts of quite extraordinary strength as well as having suffered harrowing price and volume declines. The period has also included change of Governments, the launch of ‘the single European market’, the birth of the euro, as well as a multitude of currency crises, from the Rouble, the Won to the Peso.

7. Access to the data could help management with its long term corporate strategy.

The data can be used to gauge a given sectors long-term strength in pricing and sales. The resulting comparative analysis should be of use in helping inform management strategy when considering exiting a particular market and possibly entering another, or in committing capital to an existing operation.

As well as containing measures of absolute trading performance for each sector our presentational template includes a relative reference. For example alongside the year-over-year change in the margin and sales of each manufacturing sector we include the comparable measures at the level of headline manufacturing. By including such references our presentational format allows users to visualise a sector’s relative as well as its absolute performance.

8. Access to detailed sector data could help reduce outlays to corporate consultants.

Corporate consultants often do little more than deliver to their clients data which has been simply lifted from the databanks from which we draw. More competitive access to the same data would clearly help reduce consultancy budgets.

9. The data could help management in its briefings with investors.

As investors have become increasingly keen to engage in regular briefings with management, such demands have drawn ever more on the latter’s resources. In this regard access to reliable and timely data should help mitigate against such demands, by giving management a sector template for its own market, as well as for its customers and suppliers.

10. The detailed data could be useful for management training and orientation.

When senior managers move within a group, often across quite different divisions and countries,  their effectiveness is often limited until they have become familiar with their new market.

As a briefing tool we would argue that the use of a standard template to represent a sector’s trading performance will help orientate managers quickly and effectively to its salient trading dynamics, both past and present.

To conclude

As a motorist depends on near 360° visibility so too should a company’s management. Firstly, management should be aware of the market conditions in its own sector – with the system presenting trends in the pricing, sales and costs of the sector within which a company operates, much like the role that wing mirrors have in detecting the immediate proximity of other vehicles for a driver. Secondly, management should be familiar with how its own customers are performing – with the system offering a windscreen view of conditions in downstream markets. Finally, management need to be aware of how its suppliers are performing – with the system acting as a rear-view mirror.

Next we play upon many of the issues covered there to explore how the system might also be used across Private Equity space.

QuantMetriks data can be used to gauge a given sectors long-term strength in pricing and sales. The resulting comparative analysis should be of use in helping inform Private Equity strategy, such as considering exiting a particular market and possibly entering another, or in committing capital to an existing operation.

As well as containing measures of absolute trading performance for each sector our presentational template includes a relative reference. For example alongside the year-over-year change in the margin and sales of each manufacturing sector we include the comparable measures at the level of headline manufacturing. By including such references our presentational format allows users to visualise a sector’s relative as well as its absolute performance.

Furthermore a specific sector’s performance through a particular economic cycle could be considered a reliable guide to its most likely prospects under similar conditions, such as its behaviour when the currency was strengthening, or interest rates were changing swiftly. Such a retrospective historical analysis should prove invaluable entering fast moving economic waters and when informing Private Equity Strategy.

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In this section we play upon many of the issues covered there to explore how the system might also be useful in the area of M&A strategy.

The data available within the QuantMetriks system reveals clearly the long-term strength in the pricing and sales volume – and by implication top line – of each one of a large number of sectors. A comparative analysis of such sector performances could be of use in helping inform M&A activity. Let us elaborate.

As well as containing measures of absolute trading performance for a host of individual sector’s, our presentational template includes a relative reference for each. For example alongside the year-over-year change in the margin and sales of each manufacturing sector we include the comparable measures at the level of headline manufacturing. By including such references our presentational format allows users to visualise a sector’s beta as well its alpha (see 4nSIC Analysis).

Need more information? Talk to the team

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